Economy much Better under Obama & Clinton than under Trump; and under Dems in general than Republicans ( www.myflcv.com/EconComp.html )

From Reagan to Trump : Here's how stocks performed under each president

https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2019/business/stock-market-by-president/index.html

S&P 500 in the first 678 trading days of each presidency

Ronald Reagan. + 29%.(2 terms- 110%)

Bill Clinton. + 34%. (2 terms- 210%)

George W. Bush. - 23%. (2 terms- -40%)

Barack Obama. + 44%. (2 terms- 183%

Donald Trump. Partial term- + 53 %

Donald Trump. (3.2 years) +19% &…… Barack Obama (Mar6,2009- Dec, 31,2011) +89%

 

Unemployment Improvement during Term

Truman

+14.7%

Eisenhower

-153.8%

Kennedy

+17.4%

Johnson

+38.2%

Nixon

-61.8%

Ford

-25.0%

Carter

+1.3%

Reagan

+27.0%

Bush

-40.4%

Clinton

+40.8%

Bush

-81.4%

Obama

+43.4%

Trump

-78.7%

Unemployment Rate improved during term of all Democratic Presidents in history of data

Unemployment Rate got worse during term of all Republican Presidents in history of data, except one

Source: Unemployment by President- https://historyinpieces.com/research/us-unemployment-rates-president

The top 4 presidents in average GDP growth were all Democrats-Roosevelt, Johnson, Kennedy,Clinton .

Other presidents- The Balance-Job Growth & Gross National Product- https://www.thebalance.com/job-creation-by-president-by-number-and-percent-3863218 & https://www.thebalance.com/gdp-growth-by-president-highs-lows-averages-4801102 &

https://www.thebalance.com/gdp-growth-by-president-highs-lows-averages-4801102#presidents-with-the-best-and-worst-gdp-growth

U.S. Budget Deficits by President- https://www.thebalance.com/deficit-by-president-what-budget-deficits-hide-3306151

The Party That's Best for the Economy 

There are many analyses that look at which party is best for the economy. LPL Financial Research found that, since 1950, the stock market did better under a Democratic president with a Republican Congress. 35 The next best is a Democrat president with a split Congress, and then a Republican president with a split Congress. When the same party controls the executive and legislative branches, the stock market still fares better under Democrats.

A study from the National Bureau of Economic Research found that Democratic presidents since World War II have performed much better than Republicans. On average, Democratic presidents grew the economy 4.4% each year versus 2.5% for Republicans. 36

The data reveals that economic growth performs better, overall, under Democratic presidents.

 

Jobs

President Bill Clinton created more jobs than any other president . The most, percentage-wise , was Roosevelt who increased jobs by 21.5%. But that was during three terms. Donald Trump had 3.1% job increase over 1 st two years.

After stabilizing the huge job loss of the Bush recession, Obama had 7 straight years of job growth totaling 11.6%.

https://www.thebalance.com/democrats-vs-republicans-which-is-better-for-the-economy-4771839

 

The next table calculates the average annual growth for Democrats versus Republicans. Democrats grew the economy 5.2% annually, while Republicans only grew it 1.4%. Since the Depression was an outlier to this dataset, it makes sense to remove both FDR's and Hoover's results. In that event, Democrats gained 3.5% on average while Republicans gained 3.2%.

 

Debt

Clinton created a $63 billion budget surplus with the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1993. Every Republican president since Calvin Coolidge has added to the debt. 27

Obama added a total of $8.5 trillion to the debt during his two terms while he was fighting the worst recession since the Great Depression.

 But if Trump stays in office for two terms, he is projected to add at least $9 trillion.  Trump has betrayed his campaign promise to eliminate the debt . Even in his first four years, he's adding $5 trillion. That's as much as Obama did while Obama was fighting the worst recession since the Great Depression, which started in the W. Bush term.

Trump's plan to reduce the debt relies on attempting to increase economic growth to 6 percent. Like most Republicans, he used tax cuts to try to spur that level of growth, but there has not been as much increase as hoped. In fact,   Trump's tax cuts   for the rich have not seemed to trickle down to ordinary Americans, and the debt load of the government is projected to balloon under Donald Trump.

 

Income Inequality

·        In the United States, the income gap between the rich and everyone else has been growing markedly, by every major statistical measure, for more than 30 years. Under Trump, The separation between rich and poor from 2017 and 2018 was greater than it has ever been."

https://www.commondreams.org/news/2019/09/26/day-after-trump-said-inequality-down-federal-data-shows-us-income-inequality-highest

 

 

·        Income Inequality

·        Wage Inequality

·         

·        https://inequality.org/facts/income-inequality/

·        Richest 0.1% in U.S. Take in 188 Times As Much as Bottom 90%

·        U.S. average income, 2017  

·        Income disparities have become so pronounced that America’s top 10 percent now average more than nine times as much income as the bottom 90 percent. Americans in the top 1 percent tower stunningly higher. They average over 39 times more income than the bottom 90 percent. But that gap pales in comparison to the divide between the nation’s top 0.1 percent and everyone else. Americans at this lofty level are taking in over 188 times the income of the bottom 90 percent.

The top 1% income share has doubled in the last 50 years

The nation’s highest 0.01 percent and 0.1 percent of income-earners have seen their incomes rise much faster than the rest of the top 1 percent in recent decades. Both of these ultra-rich groups saw their incomes drop during the Obama administration.”

Since 1979, the before-tax incomes of the top 1 percent of America’s households have increased more than seven times faster than bottom 20 percent incomes.

Source: CBO

This gap will likely grow even wider as a result of the 2017 Republcan tax cuts, which disproportionately benefit the wealthy. According to the  Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy , the richest 1 percent of Americans are expected to receive 27 percent of the benefits of the tax cuts in 2019.

As the share of the workforce represented by a union has declined to less than 11 percent since their peak in the 1940s and 1950s, the share of worker income has decline and the gap between owners/management and workers has exploded.

The expanding gap between rich and poor is not only widening the gulf in incomes and wealth in America. It is helping the rich lead longer lives, while cutting short the lives of those who are struggling, according to  a study released this week by the Government Accountability Office.

Almost three-quarters of rich Americans who were in their 50s and 60s in 1992 were still alive in 2014. Just over half of poor Americans in their 50s and 60s in 1992 made it to 2014.

“It’s not only that rich people are living longer but some people’s life expectancy is actually shrinking compared to their parents, for some groups of people,” said Kathleen Romig , a senior policy analyst at the liberal Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

By   Lola Fadulu  https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/10/us/politics/gao-income-gap-rich-poor.html

·        Sept. 10, 2019

 

White & Asian Wages Over 30% Higher Than Black & Latino Wages  

 

Wealth Inequality

Wealth  is distributed in a highly unequal fashion, with the wealthiest 1 percent of families in the  United States  holding about 40 percent of all  wealth  and the bottom 90 percent of families holding less than one-quarter of all  wealth . (See Figure 1.) Notably, 25 percent of families have less than $10,000 in  wealth . Mar 21, 2019

Wealth disparities have widened over time. In 1989, the bottom 90 percent of the U.S. population held 33 percent of all wealth. By 2016, the bottom 90 percent of the population held only 23 percent of wealth. The wealth share of the top 1 percent increased from about 30 percent to about 40 percent over the same period. (See Figure 2.)

https://equitablegrowth.org/the-distribution-of-wealth-in-the-united-states-and-implications-for-a-net-worth-tax/

America's Humongous Wealth Gap Is Widening Further. (Forbes)

 

while the total net worth of U.S. households has more than quadrupled in nominal terms since 1989, this increase has clearly accrued mostly to the top of the distribution."

In 2018, the richest 10% held 70% of total household wealth , up from 60% in 1989.  The share funneled to the top 1%’   jumped to 32% last y ear from 23% in 1989.

The bottom 50% saw essentially zero net gains in wealth over those 30 years, driving their already meager share of total wealth down to just 1% from 4%.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/pedrodacosta/2019/05/29/americas-humungous-wealth-gap-is-widening-further/#5a9b4b3a42ee

 

Before 2010, the middle class owned more wealth than the top one percent. Since 1995, the share of wealth held by the middle class has steadily declined, while the top one percent’s share has steadily increased. [ iv]

 

Age based wealth inequality has increased

From 1989 to 2016, the median net worth of families with a head of household age 65 or older increased by 68 percent. Over that same time period, the median net worth of families with a head of household age 35 or younger decreased by 25 percent.

 

More than 9,300 stores are closing in 2019 as the retail apocalypse drags on — here's the full list

Experts say 2018 could bring more of what the traditional brick-and-mortar stores suffered through in 2017. And that wasn't pretty.  

Store closing announcements more than tripled to about 7,000, a record, according to Fung Global Retail and Technology, a retail think tank.  

There have been 662 bankruptcy filings in the retail sector so far in 2017, according to   BankruptcyData.com . That's up 30% from the same period last year.

There were 2,056 store closings in 2016 .

These 19 major retailers have filed for bankruptcy or liquidation in 2019

running list of 2019 bankruptcy victims

List of retailers affected by the retail apocalypse in 2019

 

The Biggest Bankruptcies of the Retail Apocalypse - 2019

 

Malls are emptying and   stores are going out of business by the thousands   in a trend that shows no sign of slowing down. Already, hundreds of stores are slated to   close in 2020 .

 

 

 

Disastrous Trump Farm Policy & Economy

A recent report from the American   Farm   Bureau Federation says the number of   farms   filing

for   bankruptcy   is up 24% from the previous year. It's the steepest rise the   farming   industry

has seen in years, and the total   farm   debt for 2019 is expected to hit $416 billion, a record high.

In addition, nearly 40% of that income – some $33 billion in total --  is related to trade

assistance, disaster assistance, the farm bill and insurance indemnities and has yet

to be fully received by farmers and ranchers . This is increasing the already huge Trump

deficits and National Debt. Trump farm policy not faring too well -(Nov 2019)